Measure Risk. Hedge Smart. Grow.
About
Terminus E.F.A. (Economic Forecasting & Advisory) is a macroeconomic forecasting and advisory firm built to help investors and trade-intensive small and medium businesses navigate uncertainty with clarity. We turn academic-grade research, data, and machine-learning methods into practical forecasts and decisions—so our clients can measure risk, hedge exposures, and grow.
We believe economic knowledge shouldn’t be locked inside institutions. Our work exists to bring insight to light, translate complexity into action, and deliver measurable progress side-by-side with the people and businesses we serve.
Mission
Our mission is to make macroeconomic knowledge accessible and decision-ready—helping clients achieve distinctive, lasting, and substantial improvements in performance through research-led forecasting and first-class advisory.
Values
Client-first partnership: We put the client’s objectives, constraints, and real-world operating context at the center of every model, recommendation, and deliverable.
Exceptional ideas, applied: We lead with original thinking and rigorous analysis, but we judge quality by usefulness—insights must translate into action.
Measurable progress: We focus on outcomes, not narratives—clear KPIs, explicit assumptions, and decisions you can defend.
Continuous growth: We keep improving our methods, expanding our data, and refining our frameworks as markets evolve.
Clarity over complexity: We conquer complexity by finding hidden patterns and true drivers, then communicating them in a way that is simple, honest, and actionable.
Research with integrity: We respect the academic foundations—sound theory, transparent methods, and disciplined uncertainty handling—while staying grounded in practice.
SME excellence: We bring institutional-quality macro and risk thinking to small and medium enterprises—especially import/export businesses that face concentrated exposure to FX, rates, commodity and demand shocks.